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Older people facing a 35°C day
People aged 65 and over in areas forecast to reach 35°C in the next 16 days.
Quiet fortnight
No dangerous heat is forecast in Victoria over the next 16 days.
The hottest day in this forecast is 31°C in Swan Hill on Monday 2 November 2026. A usual high in Swan Hill on that date is 28°C. For a typical Victorian, daytime highs over this fortnight are 2.2°C cooler than usual.
Last updated 9:24 am, Saturday 31 October 2026 (Melbourne time). Forecast window: Saturday 31 October to Saturday 14 November 2026.
31°C
Hottest day on the way
Swan Hill, Monday 2 November 2026. A usual high in Swan Hill that day is 28°C.
2.2°C cooler
This fortnight versus a usual year
Daytime highs, weighted by where people live, against the same dates in 2016–2025.
57,211
Older people in the ten hottest summers
They live in the areas that average the most 35°C days. Mildura leads, with about 32 such days a summer.
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Areas with unhealthy air
Fine-particle pollution or ozone above the Australian daily standard in the coming days.
Where to prepare first
Darker areas combine a hotter summer with more people who are hit harder by heat: older residents, young children, people living alone, and households on low incomes. The next 16 days do not override that picture when the forecast itself is mild.
Lower priority
Prepare here first
Ten areas to prepare first
A higher number means prepare here sooner. It is not a prediction of illness.
How many 35°C days a typical summer brings
Same ten areas. Some are here because summer is fierce. Others are here because so many older people live there.
This fortnight is cooler than usual
Daytime high for a typical Victorian, compared with the same dates across 2016–2025. The forecast sits below the usual line for this fortnight.
What this means
There is no case for opening cooling centres on this forecast. The useful work is preparation. Start with Mildura, Greater Bendigo and Greater Geelong. Mildura averages 32 days of 35°C or more in a summer, and 11,168 people aged 65 and over live there.
- Councils: confirm cooling-centre locations, hours and transport in Mildura, Greater Bendigo and Greater Geelong before December.
- Health services: the first hot spell is the one to roster for. This fortnight is not it.
- Smaller farming shires have the highest shares of older people living alone. Welfare lists can be checked while the weather is mild.
- Air quality: nothing in the next few days reaches an unhealthy level for fine particles or ozone.